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Colombian Marines

By peace , Bogota, Colombia, February 28, 2016

Colombian marines navigate the Magdalena river on patrol near Barancabermeja. Photo by Steve Salisbury. All rights reserved.

About the Author:

Steve Salisbury is a private consultant with a background in media as a photojournalist, war correspondent, TV producer, analyst and commentator, covering Latin America. Read More…

Index

Preface
Introduction: Difficult Complexities Yet to Resolve, Despite Evidently Growing Optimism
1) No Colombian Government-FARC Overall Peace Agreement by March 23 and No Guarantee for It in 2016
2) What about Colombia’s Second-Largest Guerrilla Group, the “National Liberation Army” (ELN), in This?
3) FARC Unilateral “Indefinite” Cease-Fire or Undeclared “Bilateral” Cease-Fire, and Eventual Declared Bilateral “Definitive” Cease-Fire
4) Could Calls for a Military Solution Spike on Potential, New Frustrations over Prolonged Talks? What Is the Balance of Forces?
5) With the Colombian State’s Overwhelming Military Superiority, Why Even Have Peace Talks with the Guerrillas?
6) What Would Happen with No Peace Talks?
7) Plan Colombia and the Peace Talks
8) “Black-Op” Smart Bombs, FARC Decision-Making Structure
9) Human Rights
10) Why Is the FARC Still in Arms? Its Roots, What Does It Want?
11) What about FARC Weapons? What about the Colombian Armed Forces after an Overall Peace Accord Is Signed?
12) Would There Be Armed Dissident or Splinter Groups Peeling Away from the FARC after an Overall Peace Accord?
13) Does the FARC See the Clock Winding Down on Pres. Santos a “Strategic Advantage”?
14) Does the FARC Want to Run the Clock Out on Pres Santos and Wait for the Next President (Who Could Be Better or Worse for the FARC)?
15) What Can Be Done to Keep Up Confidence in the Peace Process among Colombian Public Opinion? “Memo of Understanding” to End Conflict
16) Some Things that Could Risk to Undercut Confidence in Peace Process
17) Smoke-and-Mirrors Impunity or an Historic Brilliant Balance between Peace and Justice in Victims’/Justice Agreement?
18) Pres. Santos Ceding Too Much or Not?
19) Would Pres. Santos’ Cure Be Worse than the Malady, or The Best, Simplest Way? The Question of Ratifying an Eventual Overall Peace Accord
20) Former President/Now Senator Uribe’s Possible Next Moves? The Retired Military Voice, Political Parties
21) Other Questions about the Victims’/Justice Agreement
22) Extradition, Cooperation on International Judicial and Security Issues
23) The FARC’s “Simon Trinidad”
24) A Decision Boils Down to…
Sidebar: Some of the Hardest Issues to Resolve at This Juncture in Colombian Peace Process

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Sidebar: Some of the Hardest Issues to Resolve at This Juncture in Colombian Peace Process

What about the FARC and extradition?

What about the FARC's "Simon Trinidad"?

Justice or impunity?

Will time run out on Pres. Santos?

A "Memo of Understanding" to End War, if March 23 "deadline" Is Missed?

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